Analytical tools | S-Curve Economics

System archetypes of the energy transition

by Caroline Humphries | Jun 4, 2025

June 2025 The energy transition is a process of disruptive innovation and structural transformation. Given the countless moving parts and complex interactions of global energy systems, this process often involves change that is non-linear and difficult to predict. In...

Analytical tools for innovation and competitiveness in the low carbon transition

by Mark Wearing | Feb 26, 2025

Simon Sharpe, Anna Murphy, Frank Geels, Roberto Pasqualino, Tatiana Vasconcelos, and Jean-Francois Mercure February 2025 How can economic analysis help governments respond more effectively to the challenges and opportunities of the low-carbon transition? This report...

Risk Opportunity Analysis Implementation Guidance – draft working paper

by Caroline Humphries | Nov 28, 2024

November 2024 Risk-Opportunity Analysis (ROA) is an approach to policy appraisal designed for contexts of uncertainty, diverse interests, and structural change. Such conditions are frequently present in policymaking on the low carbon transition. ROA can be used to...

Positive tipping points: five case studies to accelerate the low carbon transition

by Liv Thorne | Sep 19, 2024

September 2024 Tipping points occur when small interventions lead to large changes, typically driven by self-amplifying feedback loops. In the low carbon transition, ‘positive’ (helpful) tipping points can occur when clean technologies or sustainable solutions become...