Publications and resources

Dynamics of the power sector transition in China: a system mapping study

Dynamics of the power sector transition in China: a system mapping study

A systems mapping study of the power sector transition in China. Drawing on comparative analysis with the UK experience, we examine policies for renewables investment, system flexibility, and more through a complex systems lens.
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Executive Summary (English)

Executive Summary (Chinese)

System archetypes of the energy transition

System archetypes of the energy transition

Disruptive, structural change is often non-linear and unpredictable due to feedback effects. This brief explains and illustrates ten archetypical dynamics that drive change in the energy transition.
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Driving the transition to zero-emission trucks

Driving the transition to zero-emission trucks

A modelling study of the policies best able to take the cost-saving opportunity of moving quickly from diesel to zero emission trucks.
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Carbon budgets are not enough: the case for transition milestones

Carbon budgets are not enough: the case for transition milestones

A proposal for transition milestones as a new governance framework to support progress towards eliminating emissions.
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Analytical tools for innovation and competitiveness in the low carbon transition

Analytical tools for innovation and competitiveness in the low carbon transition

This report lays out the analytical tools and conceptual frameworks likely to be useful for those aiming to accelerate innovation and build competitiveness in the context of the transition. Report produced with the support of the C3A programme.
Full report

Executive summary

Risk Opportunity Analysis Implementation Guidance – draft working paper

Risk Opportunity Analysis Implementation Guidance – draft working paper

A practical guide for policymakers on how to implement Risk Opportunity Analysis, the policy appraisal tool designed for issues of uncertainty, diverse interests, and structural change.
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Positive tipping points: five case studies to accelerate the low carbon transition

Positive tipping points: five case studies to accelerate the low carbon transition

Case studies compiling evidence from a range of sources on the potential to cross tipping points in the transitions to solar power and energy storage, electric vehicles, green hydrogen, heat pumps, and alternative proteins.
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A positive tipping cascade in power, transport and heating

A positive tipping cascade in power, transport and heating

A modelling study that looks at which policies are best able to bring forward tipping points where clean technologies become cheaper than fossil fuels, and how policies in one sector can accelerate progress in others.
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In the press

Our tools

Risk-Opportunity Analysis

A decision-making framework for contexts of uncertainty and structural change.

Tipping Points

A way to set goals for a self-accelerating transition, and a guide to policy stringency.

The Accelerating Transitions Framework

A guide to the forms of action and international cooperation likely to be effective at each stage of a transition.

More from s-curve

What we do

We produce analysis to inform action on the low carbon transition, using economic concepts and tools consistent with the context of rapid innovation and deep structural change.  We also provide guidance and tools for others to use in making their own analysis.

Our team

We are a small team with leadership experience in climate change policy, diplomacy, consultancy and research.  We work at the research-policy interface, collaborating with governments, research institutes, and sector-expert organisations.

Our projects

We have a particular focus on the power, road transport, and steel sectors. We also support the development and use of analytical tools appropriate for use in contexts of structural change.

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